Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 29

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.2	3.7
				Watch
	2	3.6	3.04
	2	3.6	3.04
	2.03	3.55	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.31)	3.49 ↑ (3.05)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
46%

Draw
26.1%

Hapoel Marmorek
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Bikat Hayarden's performance.

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bikat Hayarden than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Bikat Hayarden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Ben Ami A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Cohen N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+9', 1 - 2, Biton L. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Bikat Hayarden won 1.

Recent matches Hapoel Bikat Hayarden is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Marmorek is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hapoel Bikat Hayarden won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Bikat Hayarden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.04.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
09.04.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	3:2 ✺
22.03.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.04.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Agudat Sport Ashdod	4:1 ✺
09.04.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Marmorek	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Marmorek	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
06.02.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	2:1
03.03.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:2
30.10.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1
17.02.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Marmorek	0:4
Israeli State Cup
26.10.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	3:1
Israeli Liga Alef South
22.10.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	3:0
05.04.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:3

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