Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 21

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Herzliya		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.15	2.78
	2.34	3.13	2.8
	2.34	3.3	2.77	Watch
	2.32	3.61	2.68
	2.33	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.39)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.76 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Herzliya
39.1%

Draw
27.9%

Hapoel Marmorek
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Herzliya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Marmorek Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Hapoel Herzliya (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Herzliya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Mugrabi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Shechter A. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 4.

Hapoel Herzliya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Marmorek is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Herzliya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Herzliya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hapoel Herzliya	6	3	3	0	6:2	4	12
14	H. Marmorek	6	1	2	3	5:7	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Herzliya - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.02.26	Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Herzliya	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Jerusalem FC	1:5 ✺
31.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Herzliya - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Kfar Saba 1928 - Hapoel Herzliya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLTW
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
13.02.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Beitar Yavne - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	2:4
03.01.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0
06.09.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	1:2
09.04.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Marmorek	0:1
19.01.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	1:2
21.04.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1
06.01.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Marmorek	5:0

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