Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 5


	Kafr Qasim		Hapoel Hadera

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.25	3.35
	1.99	3.34	3.62
	1.97	3.49	3.63	Watch
	1.95	3.24	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.11)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.56 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kafr Qasim
46.7%

Draw
27.7%

Hapoel Hadera
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kafr Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kafr Qasim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Hadera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Hadera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Khoury B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Khoury B. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Cohen L. ⚽,

Preview

Kafr Qasim is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Hadera has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kafr Qasim will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kafr Qasim won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kafr Qasim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	MS Kafr Qasim	8	4	1	3	12:8	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Hadera - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Ramat Gan	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
30.03.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLLW
- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Hadera	3:1 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Hadera	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Hadera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
22.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Kafr Qasim	0:0
25.08.25	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Hadera	2:2
Israeli State Cup
27.02.19	Hapoel Hadera - Kafr Qasim	1:0
06.02.19	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Hadera	2:3

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