Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sammy Ofer Stadium (Haifa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 3


	Hapoel Haifa		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.95	3.7	1.75
	4.18	3.88	1.78
	3.89	3.83	1.76	Watch
	3.91	3.82	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.89)	3.75 ↓ (3.83)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Haifa
23.3%

Draw
24.8%

Beitar Jerusalem
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

24%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

23.5%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Haifa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Beitar Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Haifa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Hapoel Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antman N. (G) 4. Malul D. (C) 25. Diba G. 33. Bruno Ramires 92. Sana 14. Nawi R. 55. Sabag N. 11. Forat Ayias A. 18. Biton O. 7. Buganim I. 10. East J.	55. Miguel Silva (G) 18. Morozov G. 4. Carabali B. 44. Gadrani L. 16. Cohen Y. 15. Micha D. 8. Yarin L. (C) 42. Tavares A. 77. Atzili O. 9. Kalu J. 7. Shua Y.
Substitutes
28. Angulo L. 3. Arbel T. 12. Biton O. 8. Ferber Y. 22. Machini B. (G) 77. Ndo R. 24. Sardal L. 21. Zikri R.	30. Abergil R. 5. Cohen G. 20. Dahan O. 14. Elimelech R. 24. Hugi D. 11. Muzie T. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 10. Yona A. 36. Zargary A.
Coaches
Arel G.	Itzhaki B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Yarin L. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Biton O. ⚽,
45+2', Gadrani L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Tavares A. ↓, Yona A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Yona A. ⚽, Gadrani L. (A),
54', Sabag N. ↓, Sardal L. ↑,
54', Buganim I. ↓, Zikri R. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Diba G. (Own goal),
65', Forat Ayias A. ↓, Ferber Y. ↑,
69', Micha D. ↓, Muzie T. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Kalu J. ⚽, Muzie T. (A),
74', Biton O. ↓, Ndo R. ↑,
75', Malul D. ↓, Arbel T. ↑,
78', Atzili O. ↓, Hugi D. ↑,
78', Shua Y. ↓, Cohen G. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Zikri R. ⚽,
81', Arel G. 🟨,
86', Sardal L. 🟨,
87', Bruno Ramires 🟨,
87', Muzie T. 🟨,
90+2', Morozov G. ↓, Elimelech R. ↑,
90+6', Elimelech R. 🟨,
90+7', Nawi R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Haifa won 3.

Hapoel Haifa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beitar Jerusalem is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Beitar Jerusalem is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hapoel Haifa: Sana (Injury)

There will not play in Beitar Jerusalem: Mendy A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Haifa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Haifa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Beitar Jerusalem - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Haifa FC
Israeli Ligat haAl
18.10.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Haifa	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Haifa	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Haifa	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Haifa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLTW
- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.10.25	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Toto Cup
18.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	5:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.05.25	Hapoel Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	1:0
06.04.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	0:1
15.02.25	Hapoel Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2
09.11.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	1:0
04.01.24	Hapoel Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2
28.08.23	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	1:2

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