Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 21

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	3	3.15	2.15
	3.06	3.14	2.17
	3.03	3.37	2.14	Watch
	3.03	3.54	2.14
	3	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.12)	3.26 ↓ (3.48)	2.16 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
30.1%

Draw
27.9%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Baqa al-Gharbiyye has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maccabi Nazareth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maccabi Nazareth could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ironi Baka	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - MS Tira	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:2
14.02.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1
17.09.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:1
23.02.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1
13.09.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:0

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