Match Info

State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.13	6.7	13.5
	1.18	6.91	11.58	Watch
	1.13	6.5	13.7	Watch
	1.14	7	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.12)	6.78 ↓ (7.5)	13.2 ↓ (19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
79.6%

Draw
13.5%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

12.4%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Umm al Fahm Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Otomewo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 0, Oli I. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Hapoel Jerusalem have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hapoel Jerusalem is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
20.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWTLW
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
20.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
27.11.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:0 ✺
05.11.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
16.02.21	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0
09.11.20	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0

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