Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 8

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

	1	X	2
	3.17	3.03	2.17
	3.03	3.08	2.24
	2.46	3.15	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.42)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.36 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
31.6%

Draw
29.6%

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, H Tirat HaCarmel has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
01.11.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3:5 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Tzeirey Tamra	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWTTL
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
01.11.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Karmiel	0:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLL

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