The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Jerusalem 38.3%
Draw 29.3%
Maccabi Netanya 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
26.6%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
25.9%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Jerusalem's performance.
Maccabi Netanya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Netanya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Jerusalem that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Netanya than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Netanya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Zamir N. (C) 20. Nadir O. 3. Malmud N. 22. Haimovich T. 66. Domgjoni D. 17. Distalfeld Y. 8. Madmon I. 25. Idoko A. 33. Dappa I. 24. Badash G. 11. Don C. F.
22. Nir On O. Y. (C) 5. Kulikov D. 26. Jaber K. 40. Khvadagiani S. 24. Cohen A. 91. Heriberto Tavares 18. Shamir O. 32. Ouattara A. 15. Levi M. 83. Matheus Davo 10. Bilu O.
Substitutes
16. Agvadish O. 18. Baye O. 6. Eshata A. 28. Gordin Anbary B. (G) 40. Koudougou D. 4. Laish Y. 15. Oli I. 30. Ransom I. 26. Shalom H.
14. Cohen L. 57. Diomande G. 17. Halaf L. 11. Harris W. 77. Mizrachi S. 7. Plakushchenko M. 8. Sade Y. 1. Tzarfati T. (G) 16. Zaarura B.
Coaches
Arie Z.
Abukasis Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Madmon I. ⚽, Idoko A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Haimovich T. ↓, Agvadish O. ↑,
46', Shamir O. ↓, Plakushchenko M. ↑,
58', Levi M. ↓, Diomande G. ↑,
58', Cohen A. ↓, Mizrachi S. ↑,
62', Dappa I. ↓, Baye O. ↑,
62', Idoko A. ↓, Ransom I. ↑,
62', Distalfeld Y. ↓, Eshata A. ↑,
69', Bilu O. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Harris W. ⚽, Plakushchenko M. (A),
80', Khvadagiani S. ↓, Sade Y. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Matheus Davo ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 1.
Hapoel Jerusalem is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Maccabi Netanya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Maccabi Netanya might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Hapoel Jerusalem: Farada A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Maccabi Netanya: Keller R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Hapoel Jerusalem: Idoko A.
(Inactive)
Ransom I.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Maccabi Netanya: Zaarura B.
(Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Maccabi Netanya - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.37%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Israel
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Zamir N. (C) 
Domgjoni D. 
Idoko A. 
Don C. F. 
Khvadagiani S. 
Heriberto Tavares 
Matheus Davo 
Diomande G. 
Harris W. 
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