Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Referee: Asulin O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 4


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.5	1.25	Watch
	9.5	5	1.28
	9.4	5.5	1.25
	9.17	5.3	1.28
	30.00	15.33	1.01	Watch
	11	5.5	1.27	Watch
	6.2	4.1	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.97 ↑ (6)	6.6 ↑ (4.1)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
8.1%

Draw
14.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.1%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

21.4%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Jerusalem's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Jerusalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Zamir N. (G) 16. Agvadish O. 3. Malmud N. 22. Haimovich T. 20. Nadir O. 8. Madmon I. 17. Distalfeld Y. 24. Badash G. (C) 11. Don C. F. 7. Almagor O. 25. Idoko A.	1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 5. Blorian O. 3. Baltaxa M. 22. Lopes H. (C) 7. Peretz E. 25. Lucas Ventura 9. Ahmed Z. 10. Biton D. 20. Kangwa K. 66. Zlatanovic I.
Substitutes
33. Dappa I. 66. Domgjoni D. 6. Eshata A. 28. Gordin Anbary B. (G) 4. Laish Y. 15. Oli I. 26. Shalom H. 23. Shprauo N. 95. Tovim I. (G)	29. Almog E. 13. Davidzada O. 19. Elias S. 11. Ganah A. C. 23. Hazut I. 95. Hemi I. (G) 18. Levy R. 12. Sabobo J. 17. Turgeman A.
Coaches
Arie Z.	Kozuch R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Lucas Ventura 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Biton D. ⚽,
25', Blorian O. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Mizrahi G. ⚽,
37', Madmon I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Idoko A. ↓, Shalom H. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Biton D. ⚽, Kangwa K. (A),
62', 1 - 3, Badash G. ⚽, Madmon I. (A),
66', Lopes H. 🟨,
68', Madmon I. ↓, Shprauo N. ↑,
71', Lucas Ventura ↓, Ganah A. C. ↑,
71', Lopes H. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
71', Blorian O. ↓, Turgeman A. ↑,
78', Biton D. 🟨,
80', Distalfeld Y. ↓, Oli I. ↑,
81', Davidzada O. 🟨,
82', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Almog E. ↑,
83', Oli I. 🟨,
86', 1 - 4, Biton D. (Pen),
87', Ahmed Z. ↓, Levy R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 5, Zamir N. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0.

Hapoel Jerusalem is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hapoel Beer Sheva is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hapoel Jerusalem: Baye O. (Red Card) Farada A. (Injury) Jardel (Inactive) Ransom I. (Injury)

There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Miguel Vitor (Injury) Stoyanov Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
30.08.25	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
17.08.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya	4:0 ✺
29.07.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
30.08.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Ironi Tiberias	7:0 ✺
24.08.25	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:4 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
24.07.25	AEK Athens - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
19.01.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2
06.10.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	3:1
20.01.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1
30.09.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	3:0
22.04.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2
18.03.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0
11.02.23	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0

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