Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 1

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Netanya Stadium (Netanya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 2


	Maccabi Netanya		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.48	Watch
	6	4.5	1.43
	5.9	4.55	1.43
	5.88	4.57	1.49
	1.55	4.40	5.03	Watch
	5.76	4.51	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (7.51)	4.51 ↓ (5.22)	2.06 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Netanya
21.6%

Draw
24.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

17.7%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

15.4%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Netanya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Netanya's performance.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Beer Sheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Netanya than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Netanya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beer Sheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Maccabi Netanya will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maccabi Netanya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nir On O. Y. (G) 26. Jaber K. (C) 91. Heriberto Tavares 40. Khvadagiani S. 4. Ben Shabat I. 72. Keller R. 8. Sade Y. 15. Levi M. 7. Plakushchenko M. 9. Luccas Paraizo 10. Bilu O.	55. Eliasi N. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 5. Blorian O. 3. Baltaxa M. 22. Lopes H. (C) 7. Peretz E. 19. Elias S. 20. Kangwa K. 10. Biton D. 17. Turgeman A. 9. Ahmed Z.
Substitutes
24. Cohen A. 14. Cohen L. 44. Feldman B. 11. Harris W. 5. Kulikov D. 12. Lee Yam D. 18. Shamir O. 19. Taji S. 1. Tzarfati T. (G)	29. Almog E. 13. Davidzada O. 11. Ganah A. C. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan M. 18. Levy R. 1. Marciano O. (G) 12. Sabobo J. 66. Zlatanovic I.
Coaches
Abukasis Y.	Kozuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
9', 1 - 0, Bilu O. ⚽, Keller R. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Bilu O. ⚽, Plakushchenko M. (A),
27', Plakushchenko M. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Ahmed Z. ⚽,
42', 2 - 2, Biton D. (Pen),
45+3', 2 - 3, Jaber K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sade Y. ↓, Shamir O. ↑,
49', Keller R. ↓, Cohen A. ↑,
55', Jaber K. 🟨,
60', Turgeman A. ↓, Almog E. ↑,
63', 2 - 4, Ahmed Z. ⚽,
68', Jaber K. ↓, Kulikov D. ↑,
68', Luccas Paraizo ↓, Harris W. ↑,
70', Elias S. ↓, Levy R. ↑,
78', Levi M. 🟥,
79', Blorian O. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
79', Ahmed Z. ↓, Zlatanovic I. ↑,
83', Plakushchenko M. ↓, Taji S. ↑,
85', Peretz E. 🟨,
90+2', Heriberto Tavares 🟨,
90+6', Eliasi N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Netanya won 1.

Maccabi Netanya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hapoel Beer Sheva is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Netanya won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Netanya won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Netanya
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Maccabi Netanya - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Netanya	4:0 ✺
05.08.25	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Tel Aviv	3:0 ✺
29.07.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya	2:3 ✺
26.07.25	Maccabi Netanya - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWT
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
24.07.25	AEK Athens - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Levski Sofia	1:2 penalties ✺
Israeli Super Cup
13.07.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
27.04.25	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1
15.03.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	2:0
22.02.25	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2
30.11.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	1:0
Israeli State Cup
24.04.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	3:2 ET
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.02.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	2:0
11.12.23	Maccabi Netanya - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0

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