Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 12

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Karmiel		Tzeirey Um El Fahem

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.82
	2.27	3.07	2.92
	2.25	3.25	2.93	Watch
	2.24	3.26	2.87
	2.16	3.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.41)	2.88 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Karmiel
40.7%

Draw
27.9%

Tzeirey Um El Fahem
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hapoel Karmiel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tzeirey Um El Fahem than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Hapoel Karmiel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Tzeirey Um El Fahem (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tzeirey Um El Fahem (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 6).

Hapoel Karmiel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.12.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Karmiel	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Karmiel	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW
- Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Israeli Liga Alef North
12.12.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Tzeirey Tamra	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLTL

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