Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Hapoel Kaukab

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	8.75
	1.22	5.5	9.5
	1.26	4.71	8.44
	1.23	5.55	9.6
	1.22	5.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.51)	5.3 ↑ (4)	9.16 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
73.1%

Draw
17%

Hapoel Kaukab
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21.4%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kiryat Yam's performance.

Hapoel Kaukab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Kaukab might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kiryat Yam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kaukab than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kaukab could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hapoel Kaukab is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Kaukab could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Kiryat Yam is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hapoel Kiryat Yam to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kiryat Yam won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2 ✺
12.02.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWWW
- Hapoel Kaukab
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.02.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0 ✺
06.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Kaukab	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
28.09.23	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	3:4

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