The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Marmorek 40%
Draw 28.5%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
28.7%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
28.9%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Marmorek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Marmorek's performance.
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Ironi Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Marmorek that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Ironi Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 14th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Marmorek won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Hapoel Marmorek (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Maccabi Ironi Ashdod have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hapoel Marmorek may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Marmorek has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:17 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Marmorek against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
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