Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 2

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek		Hapoel Beit Shean

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.70
	2.24	3.58	2.67
	2.3	3.67	2.59	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.60
	2.28	3.82	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.8)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)	2.64 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
40.5%

Draw
25.3%

Hapoel Beit Shean
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

24.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's performance.

Hapoel Beit Shean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Beit Shean might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Migdal HaEmek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beit Shean than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beit Shean could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Beit Shean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Mohamed H. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Tahaish R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Boim A. ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th and 7th).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hapoel Beit Shean is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hapoel Beit Shean may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	H. Migdal HaEmek	8	4	3	1	15:11	4	15
7	Beit Shean	7	3	2	2	11:6	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.10.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:1 ✺
08.10.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Tamra	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:1 ✺
24.09.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTL
- Hapoel Beit Shean
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.10.26	Beitar Nahariya - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
16.10.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
12.10.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:4 ✺
30.09.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
27.11.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:0
20.12.24	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:3

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