Match Info

State Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Hapoel Afula		Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.25	3.2
	2.29	3.33	2.91	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)	3.29 ↑ (3.26)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
43.2%

Draw
27.7%

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Mizrahi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Elimelech E. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Mizrahi A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Ipola P. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
92', 🟥,
119', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Hapoel Afula has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

M Kiryat Ata Bialik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

M Kiryat Ata Bialik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hapoel Afula is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 27.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:3 ✺
17.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Acre	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTTL
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWL

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