Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)

Referee: Levi G. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hapoel Petah Tikva		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.90	1.53	Watch
	4.75	4.00	1.58
	5.20	3.90	1.50	Watch
	5.15	4.32	1.59
	5.68	4.51	1.5	Watch
	5.05	4.25	1.57
	4.71	4.05	1.63	Watch
	4.60	4.00	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (5.97)	4.12 ↓ (4.58)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Petah Tikva
18.4%

Draw
22.4%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

20%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

19.3%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Beer Sheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beer Sheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Katz O. (C) 2. Cohen A. 12. Israeli S. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 4. Arroyo D. 72. Nassar Y. 29. Amian B. 6. Ehud I. 16. David R. 26. Kimvuidi K. 77. Cle	1. Marciano O. (C) 27. Stoyanov Y. 44. Diop D. T. 15. Nachmias I. 5. Amador P. 17. Forson A. 28. Yehoshua N. 23. Hazut I. 45. Abu Rumi M. 90. Ugarriza A. 70. Joao Victor
Substitutes
8. Altman T. 14. Asante E. 28. Cohen N. 34. Cohen O. 11. Keyta H. 18. Mashiah A. (G) 7. Mazal S. 66. Meir M. 3. Shalom H.	9. Ahmed Z. 3. Baltaxa M. 20. East J. 11. Ganah A. C. 8. Kanaan H. 4. Miguel Vitor 2. Mizrahi G. 34. Wolff M. (G) 66. Zlatanovic I.
Coaches
Peretz O.	Kozuch R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Amian B. 🟨,
16', Hazut I. 🟨,
16', Kozuch R. 🟨,
29', Nachmias I. 🟨,
30', Israeli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hazut I. ↓, Kanaan H. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Abu Rumi M. ⚽, Kanaan H. (A),
57', 0 - 2, Kanaan H. ⚽,
62', Abu Rumi M. ↓, East J. ↑,
64', Ehud I. ↓, Altman T. ↑,
64', Amian B. ↓, Mazal S. ↑,
66', Amador P. ↓, Baltaxa M. ↑,
66', Joao Victor ↓, Ganah A. C. ↑,
67', Yehoshua N. 🟨,
74', Cohen A. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
75', Forson A. ↓, Ahmed Z. ↑,
76', Baltaxa M. 🟨,
81', Kimvuidi K. ↓, Asante E. ↑,
81', David R. ↓, Cohen N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 0.

Hapoel Petah Tikva is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hapoel Beer Sheva is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Biton D. (Heart Problems) Peretz E. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Zlatanovic I. (Groin Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	H. Beer Sheva	5	3	1	1	8:7	1	10
13	Hapoel Petah Tikva	5	1	0	4	2:8	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Beer Sheva - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.64%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Ligat haAl
05.09.26	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
15.08.26	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
07.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:4 ✺
02.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva	5:2 AET ✺
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
09.05.26	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:4
18.04.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Petah Tikva	3:0
04.04.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:1
02.12.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1
Israeli State Cup
03.04.24	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1
Israeli Ligat haAl
16.01.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2:0
23.09.23	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0

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