Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Superbet Arena - Giulesti (Bucharest)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Sabah

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55
	2.35	3.40	3.00
	2.52	3.2	2.65
	2.66	3.39	2.76
	2.6	3.34	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.68	3.26	2.68
	2.6	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.95)	3.29 ↓ (3.57)	2.72 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
36.7%

Draw
28.7%

Sabah
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Beer Sheva's form might have worsened.

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabah's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.4%	24.2%	36.4%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). Sabah will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sabah (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabah (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 12. Rotman I. 5. Amador P. 28. Yehoshua N. 25. Lucas Ventura 7. Peretz E. 20. East J. 66. Zlatanovic I. 9. Ahmed Z.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 80. Zedadka A. 3. Solvet S. 5. Dashdamirov R. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 13. Lepinjica I. 34. Severina X. 10. Isayev A. 21. Simic V. 20. Mickels J.
Substitutes
45. Abu Rumi M. 3. Baltaxa M. 13. Davidzada O. 44. Diop D. T. 11. Ganah A. C. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan H. 18. Levy R. 14. Malede Y. 19. Ohana A. 27. Stoyanov Y. 34. Wolff M. (G)	88. Fernandes R. 6. Khaybulaev A. 23. Lachaab Y. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 8. Nwachukwu C. 11. Parris K. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R. 33. Santos Junior E. A.
Coaches
Kozuch R.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Simic V. ⚽, Puchacz T. (A),
43', 1 - 1, East J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Severina X. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
66', Ahmed Z. ↓, Ganah A. C. ↑,
71', East J. ↓, Abu Rumi M. ↑,
74', Isayev A. ↓, Nwachukwu C. ↑,
76', Miguel Vitor 🟨,
77', Rotman I. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Zlatanovic I. ⚽, Peretz E. (A),
84', Ganah A. C. 🟨,
85', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Malede Y. ↑,
85', Yehoshua N. ↓, Kanaan H. ↑,
89', Solvet S. ↓, Santos Junior E. A. ↑,

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Superbet Arena - Giulesti.

In recent matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sabah is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hapoel Beer Sheva could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Almog E. (Inactive) Biton D. (Heart Problems) Joao Victor (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sabah: Aliyev K. (Tendon Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sabah Baku: 0.2%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Sabah Baku	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Toto Cup
15.08.26	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWL
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.08.26	Sabah - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
05.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Sabah	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - Sabah	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Sabah - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

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