Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Austria	18:45	Laola1
Azerbaijan	20:45	Ictimai TV
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 3
Bolivia	12:45	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 1
Canada	12:45	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	11:45	ESPN 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	18:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	11:45	ESPN 3
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	16:45	SÝN Sport 2, SÝN Sport
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max
Kazakhstan	22:45	Qazsport
Mexico	10:45	TNT Sports, VIX
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play
Peru	11:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	18:45	Nova Sport 6
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 3


	Sabah		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.00	3.30
	1.93	3.75	3.70
	1.85	3.85	3.80
	1.95	3.96	3.84
	1.88	3.99	3.78	Watch
	1.93	3.90	3.65
	1.97	3.98	3.77
	1.87	3.80	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.75)	3.9 ↑ (3.52)	3.67 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
49.9%

Draw
24.3%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

27.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

27.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabah's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Beer Sheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	15.2%	4.3%

Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sabah will win (37 of 45 users predict this - 82.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.05% – 93.39%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sabah will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (C) 80. Zedadka A. 3. Solvet S. 5. Dashdamirov R. 27. Puchacz T. 7. Rakhmonaliyev U. 13. Lepinjica I. 11. Parris K. 21. Simic V. 8. Nwachukwu C. 20. Mickels J.	1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 12. Rotman I. 5. Amador P. 28. Yehoshua N. 25. Lucas Ventura 7. Peretz E. 20. East J. 66. Zlatanovic I. 9. Ahmed Z.
Substitutes
88. Fernandes R. 10. Isayev A. 33. Junior Almeida 6. Khaybulaev A. 23. Lachaab Y. 99. Mbina O. 4. McCarthy A. 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 1. Ramazanov A. (G) 16. Rustamli R. 34. Severina X.	45. Abu Rumi M. 3. Baltaxa M. 13. Davidzada O. 44. Diop D. T. 11. Ganah A. C. 70. Joao Victor 8. Kanaan H. 18. Levy R. 14. Malede Y. 19. Ohana A. 27. Stoyanov Y. 34. Wolff M. (G)
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Kozuch R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Zlatanovic I. ⚽,
21', Parris K. 🟨,
35', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Abu Rumi M. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Nwachukwu C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Miguel Vitor ↓, Diop D. T. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Mizrahi G. ⚽,
63', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Isayev A. ↑,
63', Parris K. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
73', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
73', Yehoshua N. ↓, Levy R. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Rakhmonaliyev U. ⚽, Mbina O. (A),
78', Mizrahi G. ↓, Baltaxa M. ↑,
78', East J. ↓, Malede Y. ↑,
80', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
83', Peretz E. 🟨,
87', Zedadka A. ↓, Mutallimov T. ↑,
87', Simic V. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
89', Diop D. T. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Mutallimov T. ⚽, Puchacz T. (A),
Extra Time (2 - 0)
91', Puchacz T. ↓, McCarthy A. ↑,
92', Malede Y. 🟨,
100', Diop D. T. 🟨,
101', Rotman I. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
101', 4 - 2, Mbina O. ⚽, Isayev A. (A),
115', 5 - 2, Mickels J. ⚽, Isayev A. (A),
117', Peretz E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Sabah has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Sabah is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sabah: Aliyev K. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Hapoel Beer Sheva: Biton D. (Heart Problems) Joao Victor (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
25	Sabah FC	3	1	0	2	3:6	-3	3

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sabah FC: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.08.26	Sabah - Kapaz	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
05.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Sabah	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - Sabah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
15.08.26	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Sabah	2:1

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