Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Ironi Kiryat Shmona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.65
	5	3.5	1.63	Watch
	5.09	3.55	1.7
	4.97	3.51	1.71
	4.9	3.44	1.65
	4.8	3.4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (3.11)	3.47 ↑ (3.11)	1.67 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
18.7%

Draw
26.4%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's form might have worsened.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Kiryat Shmona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Kiryat Shmona than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ironi Kiryat Shmona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Ironi Kiryat Shmona Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ironi Kiryat Shmona will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ironi Kiryat Shmona: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ironi Kiryat Shmona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ironi Kiryat Shmona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.12.23	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
08.12.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:1 ✺
01.12.23	Ihud Bnei Shfaram - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
27.11.23	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1 ✺
20.11.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.12.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Ironi Tiberias	1:2 ✺
08.12.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:1 ✺
24.11.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0 ✺
20.11.23	Ihud Bnei Shfaram - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.05.20	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3:1

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