Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 7

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.55	1.72
	3.93	3.32	1.86	Watch
	4.85	3.48	1.7
	4.4	3.25	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.08)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21.3%

Draw
26.9%

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28.5%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

27.7%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Mordechay R. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Abu Ras M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Boim A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
53', 1 - 3, Boim A. ⚽,
61', 1 - 4, Abu Ras M. ⚽,
77', 2 - 4, Agbaria C. ⚽,
87', 3 - 4, Bashir B. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

M Kiryat Ata Bialik is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

M Kiryat Ata Bialik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, M Kiryat Ata Bialik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
21.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Tzeirey Tamra	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WTTLL
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:3 ET ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.09.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
26.09.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
28.01.24	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:0

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