Match Info

Date: 6 May 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Happy Valley		Sun Pegasus

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.6
	4.2	4	1.61
	3.96	5.24	1.63
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.65	4.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.4)	4.24 ↓ (4.32)	1.6 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Happy Valley
21.4%

Draw
21.6%

Sun Pegasus
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.7%

20.9%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17.6%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Happy Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sun Pegasus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sun Pegasus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Happy Valley than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Happy Valley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sun Pegasus than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sun Pegasus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Premier League (Winners stage)).

Happy Valley is Premier League (Losers stage)

Sun Pegasus is Qualified for Premier League (Winners stage)

Happy Valley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sun Pegasus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sun Pegasus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sun Pegasus is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Happy Valley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Happy Valley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Happy Valley
Hong Kong Premier League
02.05.21	Happy Valley - Lee Man	1:4 ✺
24.04.21	Resources Capital - Happy Valley	3:0 ✺
16.04.21	Happy Valley - Kitchee	1:3 ✺
10.04.21	Southern District - Happy Valley	3:3 ✺
04.04.21	Happy Valley - Hong Kong Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW
- Sun Pegasus
Hong Kong Premier League
24.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Eastern AA	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Resources Capital	3:2 ✺
11.04.21	Lee Man - Sun Pegasus	1:3 ✺
05.04.21	Southern District - Sun Pegasus	2:3 ✺
28.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Lee Man	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
21.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Happy Valley	1:0
20.10.19	Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus	3:3
Hong Kong Senior Shield
21.09.19	Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus	0:1
Hong Kong Premier League
30.08.13	Sun Pegasus - Happy Valley	3:0

Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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