Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sun Pegasus		Lee Man

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.5	2.7
	2.24	3.78	3
	2.35	3.4	2.55
	2.29	3.6	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.82)	3.57 ↓ (3.74)	2.74 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sun Pegasus
40.5%

Draw
25.8%

Lee Man
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

16.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sun Pegasus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sun Pegasus's form might have worsened.

Lee Man has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lee Man's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sun Pegasus than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sun Pegasus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Sun Pegasus - Lee Man Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Sun Pegasus is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lee Man is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sun Pegasus will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sun Pegasus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sun Pegasus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sun Pegasus
Hong Kong Premier League
19.05.21	Sun Pegasus - Kitchee	2:1 ✺
15.05.21	Eastern AA - Sun Pegasus	4:0 ✺
11.05.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Sun Pegasus	0:2 ✺
06.05.21	Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus	1:3 ✺
24.04.21	Sun Pegasus - Eastern AA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWL
- Lee Man FC
Hong Kong Premier League
18.05.21	Lee Man - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
15.05.21	Kitchee - Lee Man	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Lee Man - Resources Capital	4:0 ✺
02.05.21	Happy Valley - Lee Man	1:4 ✺
27.04.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Lee Man	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
11.04.21	Lee Man - Sun Pegasus	1:3
28.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Lee Man	1:2
01.09.19	Lee Man - Sun Pegasus	4:2
20.04.19	Lee Man - Sun Pegasus	2:1
05.10.18	Sun Pegasus - Lee Man	4:0

Sun Pegasus - Lee Man

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sun Pegasus - Lee Man Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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