Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Southern District		Happy Valley

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.95	3.95
	1.73	3.85	3.7
	1.77	4.11	3.92
	1.63	3.7	4.33
	1.73	4.05	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.93 ↓ (4.2)	3.97 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern District
53.9%

Draw
23.2%

Happy Valley
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

22%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

18%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Happy Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southern District, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Happy Valley than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Happy Valley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Southern District - Happy Valley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Southern District is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Happy Valley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Happy Valley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Southern District is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southern District won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Southern District won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern District
Hong Kong Premier League
10.05.21	Kitchee - Southern District	4:1 ✺
05.05.21	Southern District - Resources Capital	4:1 ✺
30.04.21	Eastern AA - Southern District	2:1 ✺
23.04.21	Southern District - Lee Man	1:2 ✺
18.04.21	Hong Kong Rangers - Southern District	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW
- Happy Valley
Hong Kong Premier League
09.05.21	Eastern AA - Happy Valley	2:1 ✺
06.05.21	Happy Valley - Sun Pegasus	1:3 ✺
02.05.21	Happy Valley - Lee Man	1:4 ✺
24.04.21	Resources Capital - Happy Valley	3:0 ✺
16.04.21	Happy Valley - Kitchee	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
10.04.21	Southern District - Happy Valley	3:3
27.03.21	Happy Valley - Southern District	1:1
30.09.20	Southern District - Happy Valley	1:1
01.12.19	Happy Valley - Southern District	1:4
30.11.13	Happy Valley - Southern District	2:4

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