Match Info

Date: 5 April 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Southern District		Sun Pegasus

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.6	1.9
	2.95	3.55	2.05
	3.17	3.93	2.11
	3	3.6	2
	3.1	3.65	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.92)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern District
29.9%

Draw
24.9%

Sun Pegasus
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

19%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sun Pegasus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern District that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sun Pegasus than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sun Pegasus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southern District - Sun Pegasus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Premier League (Winners stage)).

Southern District has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sun Pegasus is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southern District could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sun Pegasus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Southern District won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Southern District won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern District
Hong Kong Premier League
27.03.21	Happy Valley - Southern District	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Resources Capital - Southern District	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Lee Man - Southern District	2:1 ✺
Hong Kong FA Cup
07.03.21	Southern District - Eastern AA	Canceled
Hong Kong Premier League
05.03.21	Southern District - Eastern AA	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLL?L
- Sun Pegasus
Hong Kong Premier League
28.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Lee Man	1:2 ✺
24.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Kitchee	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Sun Pegasus - Happy Valley	1:0 ✺
15.03.21	Eastern AA - Sun Pegasus	0:0 ✺
04.03.21	Kitchee - Sun Pegasus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
21.11.20	Sun Pegasus - Southern District	0:4
04.11.19	Sun Pegasus - Southern District	2:2
04.05.19	Southern District - Sun Pegasus	3:1
03.11.18	Sun Pegasus - Southern District	1:1
20.01.18	Sun Pegasus - Southern District	2:2
26.08.17	Southern District - Sun Pegasus	0:1
06.05.17	Southern District - Sun Pegasus	4:3

Southern District - Sun Pegasus

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Southern District - Sun Pegasus Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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