Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Harras El Hodood Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	Haras El-Hodood		Wadi Degla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.85	3.15	1.75
	5.42	3.25	1.78
	5.1	3.28	1.74	Watch
	5	3.1	1.75
	5	3.08	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.64)	3.17 ↑ (2.89)	1.75 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haras El-Hodood
18.2%

Draw
29.1%

Wadi Degla
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

32.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

31.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Haras El Hodood - Wadi Degla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Shaaban A. (G) 24. Awad M. 4. Abou-Salima I. 30. Hafez A. 12. Bayoumi M. 27. Cooper I. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 6. Magli M. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa 17. El Deghemy M. 99. Hamdi M.	1. Hossam A. (G) 23. Ayman A. 24. Ragab M. 3. Adly O. 12. Dahesh A. 25. El Bahnasi I. 8. Scholes A. 14. Abdelaati M. (C) 10. Diasty M. 20. Oya Y. 9. Boli F.
Substitutes
25. Ashraf I. 3. El Badry M. 10. El Henawy F. 29. El Negely M. 18. El Zanfaly M. (G) 20. Eze E. 45. Kouadja K. 90. Nayel A. 22. Saviola O.	11. Abdelrahim M. 4. Adel I. 5. Dahroug A. 32. Farouk A. 47. Hassan H. 34. Kaandorp M. 19. Mohamed H. 45. Seyam Z. (G) 28. Teka S.
Coaches
Shaaban H.	El Sheikh M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dahesh A. ↓, Dahroug A. ↑,
46', Hafez A. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
60', El Bahnasi I. 🟨,
63', El Bahnasi I. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
63', Boli F. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
65', Bayoumi M. 🟨,
77', Oya Y. ↓, Abdelrahim M. ↑,
88', Abdelaati M. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
90+1', Ragab M. 🟨,
90+4', Saviola O. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Ragab M. ⚽, Dahroug A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 A and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1.

Haras El-Hodood has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Wadi Degla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Wadi Degla is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wadi Degla	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Haras El-Hodood - the odds 4.64 are the expected chance of winning is 20.01%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Wadi Degla - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League
19.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:2 ✺
13.04.26	Pharco - Haras El-Hodood	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - Haras El-Hodood	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTLT
- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
18.04.26	Wadi Degla - National Bank of Egypt	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Wadi Degla - Pharco	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Modern Sport - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
29.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
04.11.25	Wadi Degla - Haras El-Hodood	1:1
Egyptian Division 2 A
01.03.24	Haras El-Hodood - Wadi Degla	1:1
16.12.23	Wadi Degla - Haras El-Hodood	1:2
Egyptian Premier League
14.08.20	Wadi Degla - Haras El-Hodood	1:0
26.09.19	Haras El-Hodood - Wadi Degla	2:2
21.05.19	Wadi Degla - Haras El-Hodood	1:1
26.11.18	Haras El-Hodood - Wadi Degla	4:1

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