The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haras El-Hodood 17.2%
Draw 30%
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 52.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.9%
33.8%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
32.9%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haras El-Hodood's form might have worsened.
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ittihad Alexandria's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haras El-Hodood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ittihad Alexandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
50%
21.4%
Haras El Hodood - Al Ittihad Alexandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% โ 76.2%.
13. Shaaban A. (G) 24. Awad M. 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 12. Bayoumi M. 6. Magli M. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 27. Cooper I. 9. Gamal A. 99. Hamdi M. 74. Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
16. Genesh M. (G) 22. Body 24. Gouda A. 4. Alaa M. 17. El Deeb K. (C) 23. Isaac S. 13. Tony M. 27. Magdi A. 10. Afsha 11. Wahid Y. 18. Ebuka J.
Substitutes
2. Abdelghani M. 25. Ashraf I. 17. El Deghemy M. 10. El Henawy F. 29. El Negely M. 18. El Zanfaly M. (G) 20. Eze E. 90. Nayel A. 72. Tarek Z.
33. Eid A. 25. Emad M. 9. Farid F. 5. Ibrahim M. 15. Liadi A. 90. Mabululu 14. Mohamed A. 99. Samir I. 1. Soliman S. (G)
Coaches
Shaaban H.
Hamdi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ebuka J. ⚽, Magdi A. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Ashraf M. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Wahid Y. 🟨,
29', Body 🟨,
37', Body ↓, Emad M. ↑,
40', 1 - 2, Wahid Y. ⚽, Afsha (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wahid Y. ↓, Samir I. ↑,
52', Gamal A. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
60', Cooper I. 🟨,
69', Ebuka J. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
69', Magdi A. ↓, Liadi A. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Hamdi M. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Abdelhakim I. 🟨,
85', Tony M. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
90+1', Magli M. ↓, El Deghemy M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1.
Haras El-Hodood has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Al-Ittihad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Ittihad is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Haras El-Hodood won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Haras El-Hodood won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Al Ittihad
5
3
1
1
6:3
3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.