Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Harborough Town		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.05
	1.74	3.71	4.14
	1.74	3.92	4.18	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4
	1.68	3.64	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)	4.14 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harborough Town
52.8%

Draw
25.2%

Real Bedford
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

23.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Bedford aligns with the current prediction.

Harborough Town - Real Bedford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Stevens B. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, O’Sullivan R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Harborough is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Bedford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Bedford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Bedford has had a series of away games.

In this match, Harborough is the team to beat.

We predict that Harborough will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Harborough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 26.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29:10	19	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Harborough Town	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Banbury United - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Harborough Town - Barwell	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Stratford Town - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Quorn - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Real Bedford - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bishops Stortford - Real Bedford	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLW

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