Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 8

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Stourbridge		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.80	1.63
	4	3.8	1.62
	4.5	4.08	1.68
	4.43	4.19	1.65	Watch
	4.45	4	1.58
	4.08	4.29	1.69
	4.1	3.95	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.83)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)	1.65 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
21.6%

Draw
22.8%

Real Bedford
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

24.2%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

24.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stourbridge - Real Bedford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Bedford (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Bedford will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Wragg C. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Ponticelli J. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Allen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 3, Stevens B. ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, Tee C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion ~ National League North).

Recent results have been tough for Stourbridge (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Real Bedford is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Real Bedford carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Stourbridge has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stourbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	12	10	2	0	36:13	23	32
12	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14:16	-2	16

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 25.61% Stourbridge: 0.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.09.26	Stourbridge - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.09.26	Stourbridge - Leamington	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Banbury United - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stourbridge - Leiston	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTT
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
12.09.26	Real Bedford - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Real Bedford - Leighton Town	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Halesowen Town - Real Bedford	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Real Bedford - Stratford Town	6:1 ✺
15.08.26	Banbury United - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.02.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	2:1
21.10.25	Real Bedford - Stourbridge	3:1

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