Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 21

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Alvechurch		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.25
	3.15	3.35	2
	3.36	3.58	2.03	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2
	3.35	3.38	1.97
	2.83	3.33	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.79)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
29.2%

Draw
27.4%

Real Bedford
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.5%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

25.8%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alvechurch - Real Bedford Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvechurch will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Real Bedford will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvechurch (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Wakefield K. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Tope ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Stevens B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
81', 2 - 2, Allen J. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Guinan Z. ⚽,
89', 3 - 3, Tee C. ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Hitchcock T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alvechurch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Alvechurch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Real Bedford: 26.3% Alvechurch: 2.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	9	9	0	0	29:10	19	27
4	Alvechurch	9	6	2	1	17:4	13	20

Last Results with these Odds

Alvechurch - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
21.02.26	Alvechurch - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Spalding United - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Quorn - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Alvechurch - Bury Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWL
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
21.02.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bishops Stortford - Real Bedford	0:5 ✺
14.02.26	Real Bedford - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Royston Town - Real Bedford	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Real Bedford - Sudbury Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	2:1 penalties

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