Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Haro Deportivo		Pradejón

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.35
	1.63	3.76	4.83
	1.17	6.28	15.09	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.59	3.68	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.82)	4.12 ↑ (3.5)	6.81 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haro Deportivo
62.5%

Draw
23.4%

Pradejón
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

24.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haro Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haro Deportivo's performance.

Pradejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pradejón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haro Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pradejón than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pradejón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haro Deportivo - Pradejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Haro Deportivo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pradejón has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Haro Deportivo is the team to beat.

We predict that Haro Deportivo will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Including home match between the teams, Haro Deportivo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	5	4	1	0	12:6	6	13
7	Pradejon	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haro Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.03.26	Anguiano - Haro Deportivo	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Yagüe - Haro Deportivo	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Haro Deportivo - Agoncillo	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Villegas - Haro Deportivo	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Haro Deportivo - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 WWWWW
- CD Pradejón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
01.03.26	Pradejón - Agoncillo	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Villegas - Pradejón	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Pradejón - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Comillas - Pradejón	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Pradejón - Vianés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.10.25	Pradejón - Haro Deportivo	0:2
24.02.19	Haro Deportivo - Pradejón	2:0
07.10.18	Pradejón - Haro Deportivo	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.09.17	Pradejón - Haro Deportivo	0:1

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