Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Haro Deportivo		Racing Rioja

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.18	3.16	2.11
	3.19	3.34	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.67)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	2.06 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haro Deportivo
28.3%

Draw
27.9%

Racing Rioja
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haro Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Haro Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Racing Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Rioja's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Haro Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Rioja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Haro Deportivo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing Rioja is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing Rioja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Haro Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Haro Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haro Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
18.02.24	Varea - Haro Deportivo	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Haro Deportivo - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Haro Deportivo - Alfaro	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Anguiano - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Arnedo - Haro Deportivo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Racing Rioja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
18.02.24	Racing Rioja - Alfaro	1:3 ✺
11.02.24	Anguiano - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Racing Rioja - Arnedo	2:4 ✺
28.01.24	Alberite - Racing Rioja	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.10.23	Racing Rioja - Haro Deportivo	0:0
Club Friendly
30.07.21	Haro Deportivo - Racing Rioja	2:1

Haro Deportivo - Racing Rioja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide