Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Haro Deportivo		Varea

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.2	2.45
	2.63	3.11	2.45
	3.04	2.43	2.94	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.56	3.22	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.34)	2.99 ↓ (3.4)	2.54 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haro Deportivo
33.8%

Draw
30.4%

Varea
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

25.9%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haro Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haro Deportivo's performance.

Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haro Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haro Deportivo - Varea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Varea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Haro Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Haro Deportivo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	8	6	1	1	20:12	8	19
3	Varea	8	4	4	0	7:3	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haro Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.04.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Haro Deportivo	2:5 ✺
01.04.26	Haro Deportivo - Autol	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Berceo - Haro Deportivo	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Haro Deportivo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Oyonesa - Haro Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTL
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.04.26	Varea - Agoncillo	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Villegas - Varea	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Varea - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Comillas - Varea	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Varea - Vianés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
14.12.25	Varea - Haro Deportivo	3:0
19.01.25	Varea - Haro Deportivo	8:0
18.02.24	Varea - Haro Deportivo	1:0
01.10.23	Haro Deportivo - Varea	0:3
29.01.23	Haro Deportivo - Varea	1:1
25.09.22	Varea - Haro Deportivo	1:0
03.04.22	Varea - Haro Deportivo	2:0

Haro Deportivo - Varea