Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 29

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Villegas		Varea

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.45	1.34
	7.36	4.88	1.34
	12.05	8.02	1.14	Watch
	8	4.4	1.33
	8.9	4.6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.68 ↑ (8.31)	5.27 ↑ (4.76)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villegas
10.7%

Draw
17.6%

Varea
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

19.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6%

18.4%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Villegas - Varea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Varea is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:17. (average 0.3:5.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Villegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:15. (average 0.5:7.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Varea	5	1	4	0	4:3	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Villegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
29.03.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Villegas	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Villegas - Autol	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Berceo - Villegas	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Villegas - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:5 ✺
01.03.26	Oyonesa - Villegas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLLT
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
29.03.26	Varea - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Comillas - Varea	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Varea - Vianés	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Arnedo - Varea	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Varea - San Marcial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.11.20	Villegas - Varea	0:9
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Villegas - Varea	1:6
12.11.17	Varea - Villegas	2:0

Villegas - Varea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide