The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 59.5%
Draw 21.4%
Hartford Athletic 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
19.9%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
18.2%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartford Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartford Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (C) 26. Mohamed 4. Herbert A. 12. Maples T. 3. Gloster C. 91. Houssou N. 10. Micaletto M. 11. Akale M. 33. Swartz H. 25. Bruce D. 17. Hurst G.
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 19. Buckmaster R. 4. Scarlett J. 15. Farrell J. 3. Akpunonu J. 6. Makangila B. 12. Asiedu A. 23. Vancaeyezeele T. 8. Chapman J. 7. Epps M. (C) 11. Ngalina M.
Substitutes
15. Astorga A. 9. Danladi A. 47. DuBois J. 27. Flanagan A. 7. Rivas S. 22. Ryden K. 16. Seymore W. 13. Shakes K. (G)
10. Barrera D. 33. Dieng M. 1. Monroe G. (G) 77. Mushagalusa E. 18. Schmidt J. 43. Shaul I. 9. Williams R.
Coaches
Quill E.
Burke B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
35', Hurst G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Asiedu A. ↓, Barrera D. ↑,
67', Akale M. ↓, Flanagan A. ↑,
67', Epps M. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
67', Monroe G. 🟨,
71', Buckmaster R. 🟨,
76', Burke B. 🟨,
77', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Mushagalusa E. ↑,
77', Ngalina M. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,
81', Hurst G. ↓, Astorga A. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Bruce D. ⚽, Micaletto M. (A),
90+3', Mushagalusa E. 🟨,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
New Mexico is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Hartford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
New Mexico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match New Mexico is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's New Mexico to win the game is with odds 1.49.
Last 2 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.