Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.30	2.50
	2.45	3.4	2.58
	2.5	3.73	2.73
	2.49	3.54	2.59	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.6
	2.5	3.53	2.6	Watch
	2.44	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	2.59 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
37.7%

Draw
26.6%

Hartford Athletic
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Bandre E. (G) 24. Erlandson J. (C) 21. Akinyode B. 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. 22. Torres C. 7. Niyongabire P. 19. Aman R. 17. Ulfarsson T. 11. Aboukoura A.	77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 4. Scarlett J. (C) 25. Fischer B. 15. Diz A. 8. Moreira J. 6. Makangila B. 5. Njie B. 16. Coffey B. 17. Anaku S. 7. Adedokun M.
Substitutes
2. Adnan N. 38. Barrus L. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 33. Piras L. 10. Santos P. 14. Souper A. 20. Young S.	1. Carvalho E. (G) 24. Flynn G. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 20. Hernandez A. 28. Miranda C. 81. Obalola A. 19. Samadia E.
Coaches
Limbrick A.	Burke B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Diz A. 🟨,
43', Scarlett J. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Aboukoura A. ⚽, Ulfarsson T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Anaku S. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
61', Adedokun M. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
61', Njie B. ↓, Samadia E. ↑,
70', Burke B. 🟨,
71', Torres C. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Ulfarsson T. ⚽,
83', Niyongabire P. ↓, Adnan N. ↑,
83', Coffey B. ↓, Hadjipaschalis C. ↑,
90', Aman R. ↓, Young S. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
25.07.26	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2 ✺
24.06.26	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTLTL
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
25.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Orange County SC	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:0
20.06.25	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	3:0
05.04.25	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:0
05.10.24	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:2
03.07.24	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	3:0
03.07.23	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:1
20.05.23	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	2:0

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