Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hartley Wintney		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.4
	1.86	3.65	3.35
	1.92	3.87	3.43
	1.87	3.62	3.54
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	3.44 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
48.4%

Draw
25.1%

Hendon
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Hartley Wintney - Hendon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hartley Wintney will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hendon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartley Wintney: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Hartley Wintney could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hartley Wintney will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Hartley Wintney - North Leigh	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
11.10.22	Winchester City - Hartley Wintney	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLL
- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Plymouth Parkway - Hendon	6:0 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Chippenham Town - Hendon	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Hendon - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.22	Hendon - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Winchester City - Hendon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.02.22	Hendon - Hartley Wintney	2:1
12.10.21	Hartley Wintney - Hendon	2:1
10.10.20	Hendon - Hartley Wintney	4:0
21.12.19	Hendon - Hartley Wintney	2:2
23.03.19	Hendon - Hartley Wintney	0:2
13.10.18	Hartley Wintney - Hendon	2:3

Hartley Wintney - Hendon