Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Poole Town		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5
	1.53	4.2	4.6
	1.56	4.56	4.74
	1.51	4.3	5.05
	1.53	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	4.19 ↑ (3.6)	4.88 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
59.6%

Draw
21.7%

Hartley Wintney
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Poole Town - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 1.

Poole is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartley Wintney has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Poole could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Poole is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Poole won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
11.10.22	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Winchester City - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
01.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	0:2 ✺
28.09.22	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Poole Town - Yate Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
11.10.22	Winchester City - Hartley Wintney	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	3:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Truro City	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Plymouth Parkway	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.03.22	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	2:1
25.01.22	Hartley Wintney - Poole Town	2:1
14.03.20	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	Canceled
19.11.19	Hartley Wintney - Poole Town	3:0
English FA Trophy
29.10.19	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	0:1
English Southern League South Division
22.12.18	Hartley Wintney - Poole Town	4:3
11.08.18	Poole Town - Hartley Wintney	1:3

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