Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Winchester City		Hartley Wintney

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Winchester City
37.9%

Draw
25.6%

Hartley Wintney
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

23.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

22.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Recent matches Winchester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hartley Wintney has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Winchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Winchester City - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.22	Merthyr Town - Winchester City	5:2 ✺
24.09.22	Winchester City - Hendon	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.22	Baffins Milton Rovers - Winchester City	1:5 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Winchester City - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTWL
- Hartley Wintney
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	3:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Hartley Wintney - Truro City	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Plymouth Parkway	4:4 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Bath City	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Winchester City - Hartley Wintney