Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Hashtag United		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.6	2.68
	2.23	3.7	2.72
	2.2	3.85	2.69	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.7
	2.17	3.66	2.72
	2.2	3.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)	3.64 ↓ (3.88)	2.7 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hashtag United
41.5%

Draw
24.9%

Burgess Hill Town
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

23.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

23.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hashtag United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hashtag United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

Hashtag United - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 1 - 0, Wells B. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Bennett K. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Bennett K. ⚽,
44', 1 - 3, Rea G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 1 - 4, Rowe K. ⚽,
64', 2 - 4, Cornhill M. ⚽,
67', 2 - 5, Rowe K. ⚽,
76', 2 - 6, Rea G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Burgess Hill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hashtag might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hashtag won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Hashtag United - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hashtag United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.01.26	Potters Bar Town - Hashtag United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Welling United - Hashtag United	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	St Albans City - Hashtag United	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hashtag United - Cray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
09.01.26	Hashtag United - Dartford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTT
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Hashtag United	2:0

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