Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Folkestone Invicta		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.95	7.7
	1.3	5.41	7.69	Watch
	1.4	4.33	5.75
	1.26	5.05	9.1
	1.3	5.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)	5.01 ↑ (4.22)	7.55 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
69.7%

Draw
18.2%

Burgess Hill Town
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folkestone Invicta's performance.

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgess Hill (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Pope B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 3.

Recent performances by Folkestone have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgess Hill's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Folkestone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Burgess Hill has had a series of home games.

In this match, Folkestone is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Folkestone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Burgess Hill: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Ramsgate - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLWW
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Ramsgate	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:3
05.01.19	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:0
15.09.18	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1
30.12.17	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	3:1
19.08.17	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:1
02.01.17	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	3:1

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