Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Burgess Hill Town		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	2.95
	2.02	3.6	2.92
	2.02	3.91	2.96	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	2.03	3.62	3.01
	2.08	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)	3.62 ↓ (3.71)	2.82 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
42.2%

Draw
25.3%

Lewes
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

24.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Burgess Hill Town - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Pope B. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Walker C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, Vorster G. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 2.

Burgess Hill has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lewes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgess Hill won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Lewes: 4.83% Burgess Hill: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19
11	Burgess Hill	8	3	4	1	15:10	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lewes - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.32%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Ramsgate	4:3 ✺
06.12.25	Chatham Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLW
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.25	Lewes - Welling United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Lewes - Dartford	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Hashtag United - Lewes	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:0
22.04.19	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	1:1
01.01.19	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	0:3
Club Friendly
04.08.17	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.15	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	1:2
23.09.15	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1
Club Friendly
26.07.13	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	0:1

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