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Current Win Probability
Hatayspor 28.4%
Draw 26.1%
Beşiktaş 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.3%
19.1%
65.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.6%
18.3%
68.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hatayspor's performance.
Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hatayspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+23.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
5%
80%
Hatayspor - Beşiktaş Predictions
Users Predictions:
Beşiktaş will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kardesler E. (G) 2. Corekci K. (C) 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 88. Sertel C. 5. Saglam G. 17. Diack L. 99. Rivas R. 14. Rui Pedro 77. Fernandes J. 9. Aboubakar V.
34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 5. Sanuc T. T. 53. Topcu E. 26. Masuaku A. 8. Ucan S. 83. Fernandes G. 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 9. Kilicsoy S. 17. Immobile C.
Substitutes
22. Alici K. 7. Bamgboye F. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 98. Boutobba B. 27. Demir C. 11. Okoronkwo J. 6. Parmak A. 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 15. Yilmaz R. B.
6. Al Musrati 4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 18. Joao Mario 77. Keles C. 73. Ndour C. 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 79. Terzi E. 22. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Calimbay R.
Topraktepe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Saglam G. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Immobile C. ⚽, Masuaku A. (A),
42', Kardesler E. 🟨,
44', Rui Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Rivas R. 🟨,
56', Ucan S. 🟨,
57', Saglam G. 🟨,
58', Aboubakar V. 🟨,
61', Corekci K. 🟨,
62', Diack L. 🟨,
65', Rafa Silva 🟨,
66', Rashica M. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
72', Rui Pedro ↓, Parmak A. ↑,
73', Corekci K. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
73', Rivas R. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
74', Sertel C. 🟨,
78', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Oxlade-Chamberlain A. ↑,
78', Aboubakar V. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
84', Ucan S. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
85', Sanuc T. T. ↓, Zaynutdinov B. ↑,
86', Parmak A. 🟨,
88', Destanoglu E. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2.
Recent matches Hatayspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Beşiktaş is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Beşiktaş have a series of home games.
Beşiktaş will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Hatayspor: Massanga Matondo
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Beşiktaş: Muci E.
(Thigh Injury)
Uysal N.
(Knee Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.3:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).