Match Info

Super Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	On Time Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
United-arab-emirates	Maraya, Sharjah Sports


	Galatasaray		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.65	4	4.6
	1.52	4.49	5.17
	1.56	4.41	5.42	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.48	4.47	5.97	Watch
	1.55	4.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	4.28 ↑ (3.95)	5.38 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
60.9%

Draw
21.8%

Trabzonspor
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	6.4%	10.6%

Galatasaray - Trabzonspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Galatasaray (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (38 of 46 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.66% – 93.56%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 24 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 17. Elmali E. 8. Gabriel Sara 20. Gundogan I. 10. Sane L. 11. Akgun Y. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 9. Icardi M. (C)	24. Onana A. (G) 11. Tufan O. (C) 29. Saatci S. 44. Batagov A. 20. Pina W. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 8. Bouchouari B. 22. Zubkov O. 10. Muci E. 70. Olaigbe K. 99. Felipe Augusto
Substitutes
23. Ayhan K. 33. Gurpuz G. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 64. Kahraman Y. 88. Karatas K. 21. Kutucu A. 99. Lemina M. 34. Torreira L. 91. Unyay A. 62. Yuzgec A.	17. Cakiroglu O. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 74. Malkocoglu S. 9. Nwakaeme A. 34. Sarialioglu Y. 14. Sikan D. 18. Tuncer T. 88. Yildirim A. (G)
Coaches
Buruk O.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Gabriel Sara 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Yilmaz B. A. ⚽, Sallai R. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Elmali E. ⚽, Icardi M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Batagov A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
61', Gundogan I. ↓, Torreira L. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Akgun Y. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
71', Elmali E. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
71', Akgun Y. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
77', Olaigbe K. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
79', Sanchez D. ↓, Lemina M. ↑,
79', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Kutucu A. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Icardi M. ⚽, Karatas K. (A),
87', Zubkov O. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
88', Pina W. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
90', Saatci S. 🟨,
90+3', Felipe Augusto ↓, Cakiroglu O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 4.

Galatasaray is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Trabzonspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trabzonspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Galatasaray is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Kutlu B. (Inactive) Singo W. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R. (Shin Injury) Baskan B. (Suspended) Eskihellac M. (Inactive) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Inactive) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury) Yokuslu O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Ayhan K. (Injury) Cakir U. (Injury)

There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Savic S. (Injury)

We predict that Galatasaray will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.12.25	Antalyaspor - Galatasaray	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Monaco - Galatasaray	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
05.12.25	Galatasaray - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
22.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor	4:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Trabzonspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
01.11.25	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	0:0
Turkish Cup
14.05.25	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	0:3
Turkish Super League
10.05.25	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	0:2
16.12.24	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	4:3
21.01.24	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	1:5
19.08.23	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	2:0
05.02.23	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	2:1

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