Match Info

Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Hatayspor		Konyaspor

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.7	Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.66
	4.13	4.13	1.73	Watch
	4.3	4.25	1.76
	4.01	4.09	1.8	Watch
	4.4	4	1.7
	4.33	4.06	1.74	Watch
	4.13	4.13	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.51)	4.08 ↑ (3.66)	1.73 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
22.4%

Draw
23.1%

Konyaspor
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.1%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.5%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Konyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Konyaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Konyaspor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Konyaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	17.6%	70.6%

Hatayspor - Konyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Konyaspor will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Konyaspor: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Konyaspor (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Konyaspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Konyaspor (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bekaj V. (G) 2. Corekci K. (C) 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 27. Demir C. 8. Massanga Matondo 6. Parmak A. 98. Boutobba B. 7. Bamgboye F. 10. Strandberg C. 9. Aboubakar V.	1. Ertas D. (G) 5. Yazgili U. 20. Bazoer R. 4. Demirbag A. 18. Ndao A. 16. Jevtovic M. 8. Pedrinho 3. Subasi K. 77. Ibrahimoglu M. 10. Erdogan Y. 99. Kramer B.
Substitutes
94. Aksoy D. 96. Aydemir E. 95. Buz Y. A. 78. Daduk E. (G) 77. Fernandes J. 11. Okoronkwo J. 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 97. Sen M. 16. Temel S.	19. Akyazi K. 9. Aleksic D. 42. Bjorlo M. 24. Boranijasevic N. 91. Bostan M. 37. Eris M. 11. Prip L. 27. Slowik J. (G) 35. Ulgun O. 17. Uresin A.
Coaches
Sahin M.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Jevtovic M. ⚽, Erdogan Y. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Demir C. (A),
32', 2 - 1, Parmak A. ⚽, Kilama G. (A),
45', Demirbag A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bazoer R. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
46', Pedrinho ↓, Aleksic D. ↑,
61', Ibrahimoglu M. ↓, Ulgun O. ↑,
68', Demir C. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
70', Corekci K. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Prip L. ⚽, Ulgun O. (A),
81', Aboubakar V. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
84', Jevtovic M. ↓, Bjorlo M. ↑,
88', Strandberg C. ↓, Okoronkwo J. ↑,
89', Parmak A. ↓, Buz Y. A. ↑,
89', Kramer B. ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Ulgun O. ⚽, Bjorlo M. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.

Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Konyaspor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Konyaspor have a series of home games.

In this match Konyaspor is a favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L. (Injury) Saglam G. (Yellow Cards) Sertel C. (Yellow Cards) Yilmaz R. B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Konyaspor: Boateng E. (Injury) Calusic J. (Injury) Tasci T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Konyaspor: Damjanovic F. (Ankle Injury) Guilherme (Injury) Keyta H. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
13.04.25	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Hatayspor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Kayserispor - Hatayspor	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Trabzonspor - Hatayspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLLWW
- Konyaspor
Turkish Super League
12.04.25	Konyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.04.25	Konyaspor - Iskenderunspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.03.25	Konyaspor - Gaziantep	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	1:1
24.02.24	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	2:0
08.10.23	Hatayspor - Konyaspor	3:1
10.09.22	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	1:0
15.05.22	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	3:1
22.12.21	Hatayspor - Konyaspor	1:3
24.04.21	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	0:0

Upcoming Matches