Match Info

Super Lig - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Gaziantep		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.49	4.5	5.5
	1.58	4.54	4.77	Watch
	1.59	4.59	4.93	Watch
	1.5	4.4	5.8
	1.58	4.68	4.98	Watch
	1.58	4.54	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	4.54 ↓ (4.64)	5.04 ↓ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
60.5%

Draw
20.8%

Hatayspor
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

19.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaziantep, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gaziantep - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Bozan M. (G) 17. Guler S. 36. Bruno Viana 51. Husic A. 25. Ozcicek O. 18. Sorescu D. 20. Ndiaye B. 44. Maxim A. 77. Okereke D. 21. Boateng E. 9. Dervisoglu H.	12. Bekaj V. (G) 15. Yilmaz R. B. 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 88. Sertel C. 5. Saglam G. 6. Parmak A. 10. Strandberg C. 98. Boutobba B. 7. Bamgboye F. 9. Aboubakar V.
Substitutes
27. Artan O. 6. Daubin Q. 1. Dioudis S. (G) 40. Erdal I. A. 5. Ersoy E. 4. Kizildag A. 19. Kodro K. 22. M'Bakata S. 8. Soyalp F. 3. Tasdemir E.	2. Corekci K. 78. Daduk E. (G) 27. Demir C. 77. Fernandes J. 11. Okoronkwo J. 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 16. Temel S.
Coaches
Inan S.	Sahin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Sertel C. 🟨,
31', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Aboubakar V. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
44', Husic A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Boateng E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Parmak A. 🟨,
47', Husic A. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
47', Bozan M. ↓, Dioudis S. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Dervisoglu H. ⚽, Okereke D. (A),
71', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Daubin Q. ↑,
72', Yilmaz R. B. ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
76', Bamgboye F. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
80', Saglam G. 🟨,
83', Maxim A. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
83', Aboubakar V. ↓, Okoronkwo J. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 1.

Gaziantep is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gaziantep is a favorite.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Kozlowski K. (Yellow Cards) Lungoyi C. (Yellow Cards) Stephen G. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L. (Injury) Massanga Matondo (Yellow Cards)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gaziantep won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
07.04.25	Göztepe - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Konyaspor - Gaziantep	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:0 ✺
10.03.25	Beşiktaş - Gaziantep	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	Gaziantep - Eyüpspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TLWWW
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
06.04.25	Hatayspor - Eyüpspor	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Kayserispor - Hatayspor	5:0 ✺
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Trabzonspor - Hatayspor	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Bodrumspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.11.24	Hatayspor - Gaziantep	3:1
05.05.24	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	1:1
10.01.24	Hatayspor - Gaziantep	0:0
01.02.23	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	4:1
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	1:2
Turkish Super League
20.08.22	Hatayspor - Gaziantep	1:2
07.03.22	Gaziantep - Hatayspor	2:2

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