Match Info

Super Lig - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Kayserispor		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	6	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.25
	1.45	4.5	6.53	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.88
	1.48	4.61	6.27	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.4
	1.48	4.59	6.38	Watch
	1.45	4.5	6.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)	4.35 ↑ (4.03)	5.78 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
62%

Draw
21.7%

Hatayspor
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

26.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kayserispor's performance.

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Kayserispor - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Kayserispor will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 11. Sazdagi G. 5. Hosseini M. 3. Attamah J. 23. Carole L. 6. Karimi A. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 28. Civelek R. 10. Bourabia M. 7. Cardoso M. 13. Bahoken S.	12. Bekaj V. (G) 22. Alici K. 15. Yilmaz R. B. 3. Kilama G. 88. Sertel C. 8. Massanga Matondo 6. Parmak A. 7. Bamgboye F. 5. Saglam G. 98. Boutobba B. 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
79. Ackah Y. 26. Gezek B. A. 54. Kocaman A. 4. Kolovetsios D. 77. Korkmaz N. 20. Mane C. 9. Nazon D. 16. Ozbek E. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T.	9. Aboubakar V. 95. Buz Y. A. 27. Demir C. 17. Diack L. 11. Okoronkwo J. 14. Rui Pedro 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Sahin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Karimi A. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Bahoken S. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Alici K. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
46', Bamgboye F. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Civelek R. ⚽, Karimi A. (A),
60', Strandberg C. ↓, Okoronkwo J. ↑,
60', Saglam G. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
65', Carole L. 🟨,
67', Bahoken S. ↓, Nazon D. ↑,
67', Cardoso M. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
67', Bourabia M. ↓, Ackah Y. ↑,
69', 4 - 0, Nazon D. ⚽, Sazdagi G. (A),
77', Yilmaz R. B. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
80', Parmak A. 🟨,
81', Carole L. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
81', Sazdagi G. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
85', Rui Pedro 🟨,
89', 5 - 0, Sariarslan T. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kayserispor won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Kayserispor is a favorite.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Kaldirim H. A. (Foot Injury) Kocaman A. (Ankle Injury) Kolovetsios D. (Injury) Sazdagi G. (Leg Injury) Uzodimma A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Calvo F. (Red Card) Corekci K. (Thigh Injury) Diack L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hatayspor: Strandberg C. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kayserispor won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kayserispor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
15.03.25	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Beşiktaş - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Kayserispor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Eyüpspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWT
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Trabzonspor - Hatayspor	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Bodrumspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Hatayspor - Alanyaspor	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Samsunspor - Hatayspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
26.10.24	Hatayspor - Kayserispor	0:1
10.03.24	Kayserispor - Hatayspor	1:1
27.10.23	Hatayspor - Kayserispor	1:2
16.09.22	Hatayspor - Kayserispor	0:4
04.02.22	Kayserispor - Hatayspor	4:3
19.09.21	Hatayspor - Kayserispor	2:1
07.03.21	Hatayspor - Kayserispor	1:3

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