Match Info

1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Hatayspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.45	Watch
	5.28	4.81	1.44
	5.62	5.15	1.48
	4.96	5	1.5	Watch
	5	4.75	1.44
	5.21	4.5	1.46	Watch
	5	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.78)	4.66 ↑ (4.2)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
17.6%

Draw
19.7%

Sarıyer
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.1%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Hatayspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarıyer: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sarıyer (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sarıyer (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Sarıyer (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Saricali D. (G) 17. Alici K. 15. Yilmaz B. 95. Buz Y. A. 31. Matur O. 6. Sarka B. 61. Parmak A. 2. Corekci K. (C) 5. Saglam G. 18. Durmushan U. 9. Aksoy D.	1. Uysal A. (G) 13. Berber O. 2. Kurucuk F. 3. Djilobodji P. (C) 19. Bayram O. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 70. Camara M. 6. Traore H. 10. Anziani J. 80. Urie A. 99. Engul B.
Substitutes
66. Abdulkadir A. 19. Aksu C. B. 33. Aydemir E. 98. Aydin S. M. 78. Daduk E. (G) 30. Guler E. 96. Samlioglu M. H. 97. Sen M. 99. Tan A. E. 77. Uzel B.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 17. Aydogmus B. 9. Dembele P. M. 11. Koc A. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 8. Mert M. 14. Mert M. 7. Regattin A. 48. Sol O. 22. Yilmaz O.
Coaches
Alas G.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Alici K. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽, Traore H. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Djilobodji P. ⚽, Bayram O. (A),
42', Traore H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Engul B. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
46', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
46', Traore H. ↓, Regattin A. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Dembele P. M. ⚽, Urie A. (A),
61', Saglam G. 🟨,
62', Sarka B. ↓, Guler E. ↑,
69', Saglam G. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
69', Yilmaz B. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
78', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
80', Anziani J. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
82', Parmak A. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
82', Buz Y. A. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 4.

Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sarıyer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hatayspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarıyer is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish First League
01.12.25	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Hatayspor - Pendikspor	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Amed SK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hatayspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Sivasspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLT
- Sarıyer
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sarıyer	6:0 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Sarıyer - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
31.10.23	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
07.04.18	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	2:0
18.11.17	Sarıyer - Hatayspor	0:2
15.03.17	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	0:0
05.11.16	Sarıyer - Hatayspor	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
06.03.16	Sarıyer - Hatayspor	2:0
24.10.15	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	0:3

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