Match Info

1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ismail Ogan Stadium (Serik)

Referee: Demirbas A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.52
	4.82	4.06	1.56	Watch
	4.59	4.45	1.63
	4.92	4.65	1.54	Watch
	4.6	4	1.6
	4.26	4.5	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.1)	4.27 ↓ (4.34)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
20.1%

Draw
21.6%

Sivasspor
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

21.4%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

21.1%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sapan V. (G) 55. Skvortsov L. 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 5. Demir C. 98. Topalli J. 58. Asan B. 20. Dilli S. (C) 40. Nwachukwu C. 79. Altiparmak G. 77. Nalepa M.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 26. Yildirim M. 2. Appindangoye A. 3. Erdogan O. 5. Basyigit E. 80. Celik C. 10. Okoronkwo J. 20. Celik M. 15. Fidan K. 27. Ethemi V. 9. Manaj R. (C)
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 44. Cavlan C. 39. Demirozu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 88. Nefiz E. 70. Ozcan S. 9. Sadygov I. 2. Tashkyn S. 50. Terzi E.	22. Akkan G. (G) 92. Ala S. 72. Avramovski D. 14. Boke T. 19. Gokay E. 17. Kesgin K. 12. Malle A. 7. Paluli M. 6. Yigiter O.
Coaches
Boran M.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Manaj R. 🟨,
34', Erdogan O. 🟨,
45+1', Nalepa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Manaj R. ⚽, Okoronkwo J. (A),
72', Fidan K. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
75', Demir C. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
75', Asan B. ↓, Nefiz E. ↑,
75', Topalli J. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
79', Appindangoye A. 🟨,
85', Celik C. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
85', Ethemi V. ↓, Paluli M. ↑,
87', Montes A. 🟨,
87', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
87', Dilli S. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
90', Okoronkwo J. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
90+4', Paluli M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Serik Belediyespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sivasspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Serik Belediyespor: Martynov A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
22.02.26	Erzurumspor - Serik Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Bodrumspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 LLWLL
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sivasspor - Vanspor	3:3 ✺
07.02.26	Sarıyer - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sivasspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.10.25	Sivasspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:0

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