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Current Win Probability
Hatayspor 32%
Draw 28.9%
Trabzonspor 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
23%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
22.6%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trabzonspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
13.3%
80%
Hatayspor - Trabzonspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Trabzonspor will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kardesler E. (G) 2. Corekci K. (C) 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 88. Sertel C. 5. Saglam G. 17. Diack L. 7. Bamgboye F. 14. Rui Pedro 99. Rivas R. 9. Aboubakar V.
1. Cakir U. (C) 79. Malheiro P. 6. Mendy B. 29. Saatci S. 18. Elmali E. 35. Yokuslu O. 5. Lundstram J. 7. Visca E. 8. Bardhi E. 70. Dragus D. 17. Banza S.
Substitutes
22. Alici K. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 98. Boutobba B. 27. Demir C. 77. Fernandes J. 31. Matur O. 11. Okoronkwo J. 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 15. Yilmaz R. B.
3. Barisic B. 77. Bosluk A. 23. Gunes U. 74. Malkocoglu S. 10. Muhammed Cham 99. Orsic M. 54. Taha M. (G) 88. Yildirim A. (G) 90. Yildirim P. 84. Yilmaz A. S.
Coaches
Calimbay R.
Gunes S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Saglam G. ⚽, Aboubakar V. (A),
45', Saglam G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yokuslu O. ↓, Muhammed Cham ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Banza S. ⚽, Dragus D. (A),
50', Lundstram J. 🟨,
53', Saatci S. 🟨,
64', Rivas R. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
65', Rui Pedro ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
70', Corekci K. 🟨,
71', Bamgboye F. 🟨,
73', Bardhi E. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
73', Bamgboye F. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
73', Visca E. ↓, Orsic M. ↑,
85', Saatci S. ↓, Yilmaz A. S. ↑,
90+1', Banza S. 🟨,
90+2', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
90+2', Elmali E. 🟨,
90+4', Dragus D. 🟨,
90+6', Yilmaz A. S. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2.
Hatayspor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hatayspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Trabzonspor will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Trabzonspor: Batagov A.
(Muscle Injury)
Bozok U.
(Muscle Injury)
Destan E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Savic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Turkmen H.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
Africa
Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
France
Montenegro
North-macedonia
Slovenia
Turkey
Usa
World
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Kardesler E. (G) 
Kilama G. 
Calvo F. 
Saglam G. 
Diack L. 
Bamgboye F. 
Rui Pedro 
Rivas R. 
Mendy B. 
Lundstram J. 
Visca E. 
Bardhi E. 
Dragus D. 
Banza S. 
Bekaj V. (G) 
Strandberg C. 
Barisic B. 
Muhammed Cham 
