Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 11

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iran	IRIB Varzesh


	Havadar		Esteghlal Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.95	2.95	2.47
	2.95	2.93	2.46
	2.94	2.84	2.52	Watch
	2.88	2.8	2.4
	2.97	2.97	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.9)	2.93 ↓ (2.93)	2.47 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
31.6%

Draw
31.3%

Esteghlal Khuzestan
37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Havadar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Esteghlal Khuzestan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Havadar - Esteghlal Khuzestan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kia M. (G) 37. Mansouri M. 44. Sattari M. 6. Mohebi S. 66. Khodaei M. 21. Zavari M. 8. Masoumi M. E. 88. Goudarzi M. 7. Ahmadi M. 9. Ranjbari P. 75. Mehraban H.	34. Gohari A. (G) 8. Ogaili M. 5. Hosseini S. M. 4. Helichi A. 3. Abbasi A. 21. Mohkamkar A. 13. Abshak M. 11. Barani B. 50. Savio Roberto 88. Babaei E. 23. Bifouma T.
Substitutes
70. Asadi A. 98. Dindar M. 28. Mahini D. . Mohammadi F. 67. Rahmani E. 12. Shakouri A. (G) 11. Shojaeian D. 18. Tahmasebi M. 33. Tohidast M.	2. Baghaki S. D. 15. Chatziisaias D. 41. Mirdurghi F. . Mohammadian H. 1. Pour Hamidi H. (G) 19. Savaed A. 12. Sazegari E. 7. Shahbazzadeh S. . Siman A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Savio Roberto ⚽, Mohkamkar A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Zavari M. ↓, Shojaeian D. ↑,
82', Savio Roberto ↓, Savaed A. ↑,
85', Sattari M. ↓, Tahmasebi M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havadar won 2.

Havadar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Esteghlal Khuzestan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Esteghlal Khuzestan have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Havadar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Hazfi Cup
24.11.24	Zob Ahan - Havadar	1:0 ET ✺
Iran Pro League
01.11.24	Malavan - Havadar	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Havadar - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:1 ✺
17.10.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Havadar	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Havadar - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLTL
- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Hazfi Cup
23.11.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
30.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
17.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
01.06.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar	3:1
31.12.23	Havadar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0
Iran Division 1
08.06.21	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar	1:1
25.01.21	Havadar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0
30.06.20	Havadar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1
30.10.19	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Havadar	1:1

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